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Saturday, April 11, 2020

COVID-19 April 11, 2020 Special Colorado Edition

Below is the analysis specific to Colorado.  All the caveats and warnings in my post from earlier today apply to this and then some.  You'll note that the data is even noisier than the US.

The Gompertz model predicts:
18,000 total cases
800 total deaths
Peak daily cases of 410 on April 11 (Today!)
9,000 cases (halfway to the total) on April 18
Peak daily deaths of 18 on April 14
400 total deaths (halfway to total) on April 20

All the above are HIGHLY SPECULATIVE.










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