COVID-19 April 13, 2020

Nothing all that new today.  The weekend number bias was in full force, as you can see in the data below.  The daily death rate chart and the daily new cases chart really show it well.  I suspect we'll see things increase over the next few days. 

I have tweaked the Gompertz parameters a bit.  I'll wait a few more days before I report on that in detail.  I'm currently finding that we will have a peak in daily deaths of 3420 per day around April 27.  A peak in new daily infections will occur around April 18 at 38,623.  As usual, these numbers are highly uncertain, so take them all with a large grain of salt.