COVID-19 May 28, 2020

Last week it appeared that the 7-day average of the new case rate had started to slowly increase.  That was, apparently, just a little bump.  This week the 7-day average has leveled off again and even decreased a bit more.  As of today, the 7-day average has dropped to 20,852 and the best fit 7-day line has dropped below 20,000 cases/day for the first time in a long time. (The equation of the best-fit line is shown in the cumulative case plot.  The slope of the line is equivalent to the case rate and is 19,945.  Algebra.  Again.).  These trends are despite an increase in testing and loosening of restrictions.  Will it last?  I'm not a betting man, but if I was, I know where I'd put my money.

The death rates continue their downward trend, at least when looking at the 7-day average.  The usual peaks and valleys in the daily numbers are still there. Yesterday was an "up" after three days of "down".