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Sunday, July 19, 2020

COVID-19 July 19, 2020

The rate of exponential growth of new daily infections is slowing.  It is still exponential, but the rate of exponential growth has been getting smaller based on the 7-day average.  There is no guarantee that this will continue, but that's the trend for now.  The doubling rate for new infections is 19.4 days.  If things stay as they are (they aren't, things are slowing), that would mean that we would have over 130,000 new cases each day in about 19 days from now. 

Deaths continue to increase, on average, but I'm not seeing an exponential growth. That's good and hopefully that will hold.  However, with the still exponentially growing number of cases it seems likely that the death rate will start to pick up. 








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