The very slight, mean downward trend in daily new cases continues. I consider this good news, especially with the increase in testing. Note that this week's peak was much lower than in the past two weeks. If the trend starts to slow, or if the weekly peak starts going back up, that could be a sign of trouble ahead. As a result of the gentle decrease in new cases, the slope of the cumulative cases has eased very slightly to an average of 25,061 new cases over the last week. That's about 2,000 less than in the previous week. BUT, remember, it is still increasing. 25,000 per day equals 100,000 every 4 days.
Yesterday's daily death mark was not as low as I would have liked. We are near the bottom of the weekly cycle, but it may be difficult for this week's low to beat last week. If that happens, it's an indication that the death rate is starting to level off rather than continuing to decrease. This would be a strong indication that the near constancy of the new daily cases that started several weeks ago is real and not entirely due to an increase in testing. As I said yesterday, this week's death statistics will be the truth-teller.
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