COVID-19 June 02, 2020

I've been waiting for/wondering when the death rate would start to flatten in concert with the number of new cases.  New cases have been nearly flat with only a very slow decrease for weeks.  I'm not quite ready to make the call, but the 7-day average of death rates appears to have departed from the Gompertz model curve.  As I've said repeatedly, you can't really look at daily numbers and even the 7-day average can be squirrely.  It could very well turn around in the next day or two, but if not...well, the long-awaited response in death rates has arrived.  Will the orange 7-day average in the daily plot continue to diverge from the red Gompertz curve?