We are now solidly past the peak of the second wave based on death rate, which has now been slowly decreasing (7-day average). New cases have also been on the decline. And now we wait to see if wave #3 emerges as students head back to school.
I read yesterday that hospitals will, once again, be sending their data directly to the CDC instead of HHS. At this point I'm not sure it matters any more. The data collection and distribution is so completely screwed up that it may not be possible to conduct meaningful analysis in real time. It's going to take researchers months or years to dig through the records we do have and sort it all out. I continue to get my data directly from the states, but just to illustrate how crazy those data are, I refer you to my state of Colorado. On August 21, Colorado dumped 3,959 new cases into the database in one day. Clearly, that's a backlog from many, many days (or weeks) prior. What am I supposed to do with that? Colorado is not unique.
I'll be back again in a week or so, or sooner if something changes. Stay safe out there!
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