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Friday, September 4, 2020

COVID-19 September 04, 2020

It's been about a week since I last posted.  In that period, the number of daily new cases has nearly leveled off at about 40,000 per day.  It would be interesting to see how much of that is due to the return to school.  There have certainly been a large number of reports of outbreaks at schools and universities.  It's curious, though, that some of these don't seem to be reflected in the individual state numbers.  For example, over a thousand students were supposedly diagnosed at the University of Alabama within the last couple of weeks.  But there is no significant change in that state's trends over the last several weeks.  In fact, Alabama posted a paltry 86 on September 2, which is the lowest since March 31.  Something is amiss.

The death rate continues downward, but the rate of decrease is slowing.  We are now down to about 850 deaths per day.  I expect the deaths to level off in the next week or so given the leveling of new cases.







 

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