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Wednesday, May 13, 2020

COVID-19 May 13, 2020

As I typed the date into the header of this post I realized what a distorted sense of time I have now.  It's mid-May.  I haven't left the house since mid-March, except to walk the dog.  Two months.  How did that happen?  Over those two months, we've seen the rapid rise of the pandemic, a flattening of the curve, and now the persistent gnawing of a virus that isn't going to go away.  Collectively, our society and government aren't exactly helping either.  I find it interesting that after all the measures taken over the last month or two, we are still where we are today, as shown in the plots below.  In the US it seems that the last two months represent the best we can do.  Doing less, which is what's starting to happen across the country, means things are likely to get worse again. They are certainly unlikely to get better.  It's going to be a long summer. People are such selfish prigs.  Having to suffer the inconvenience of a mask for the benefit of your neighbor.  Oh, the humanity!  Mask. Dead person. Mask. Dead person.  Which to choose?????!!!!!!








2 comments:

Mark Jones said...

Hi Scot

Not sure if you've seen these, but the FT are publishing graphs of the excess deaths in various regions; for example https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1260234030978662402/photo/1

Scot Rafkin said...

I hadn't seen that data at FT, but I've seen similar elsewhere. It illustrates that even death statistics can be a tricky number. I still trust those more than the infection numbers which are heavily reliant on testing. Testing is abysmal in the US. Thanks for the additional info!