The infection rate continues to do its thing with a slow downward trend. Nothing really more to stay about it other than it is rather consistent once the weekly oscillation is averaged out.
Thursday, May 14, 2020
COVID-19 May 14, 2020
I noted that this week would be a key test for the Gompertz model as it related to the death statistics. Based on yesterday's numbers, it looks like the model continues to hold reasonably well. Today is usually when the peak number rolls in for the week. Unless it is unexpectedly high, the 7-day average should match the model very well. Note that the cumulative death statistics in the first plot mirror the Gompertz curve to very good accuracy.
The infection rate continues to do its thing with a slow downward trend. Nothing really more to stay about it other than it is rather consistent once the weekly oscillation is averaged out.
The infection rate continues to do its thing with a slow downward trend. Nothing really more to stay about it other than it is rather consistent once the weekly oscillation is averaged out.
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